The Green Jacket Lab

⛳

LEADERS

AI Predicted Finish · Masters 2026

Three models·10,000 sims·One green jacket
AI Consensus Pick#1 Predicted
1
Scottie Scheffler
0.0%Win %
50.0Top 5
68.0Top 10

“The most complete player in the world remains the man to beat at Augusta. Scheffler's iron play is borderline unfair on this course, and his two green jackets in three years tell you everything. His strokes gained approach numbers are historic, ranking first on the PGA Tour for three consecutive seasons. The field is chasing a ghost who seems to elevate his game at the precise moments that matter most. With three wins already in 2026, he arrives at Magnolia Lane in the form of his life and with the quiet confidence of a man who knows exactly how to navigate every inch of Augusta National.”

Model Agreement

2 of 3 Agree
🎲

Simulator

Jon Rahm

🔍

Scout

Scottie Scheffler

🧠

Analyst

Scottie Scheffler

Top 15 Leaderboard

Predicted
PosPlayerWin

🧠 The Analyst's Tournament Preview

The 2026 Masters field features 91 competitors at Augusta National. Market odds from DraftKings serve as the foundation for probability estimates, with analytical adjustments based on course-specific performance metrics.

Model Breakdown

🎰

The Simulator

Monte Carlo simulation engine using strokes gained and course history data

#1 Pick

1

Jon Rahm

10.5win %

Top 5

  1. 1Jon Rahm10.5%
  2. 2Bryson DeChambeau8.0%
  3. 3Scottie Scheffler18.5%
  4. 4Ludvig Åberg6.5%
  5. 5Rory McIlroy9.2%

Runs 10,000 tournament simulations using player strokes gained profiles, Augusta National course fit metrics, and recent form. Win/place probabilities are calibrated against real DraftKings odds.

🔭

The Scout

Qualitative scouting model weighing momentum, experience, and intangibles

#1 Pick

1

Scottie Scheffler

18.5win %

Top 5

  1. 1Scottie Scheffler18.5%
  2. 2Rory McIlroy9.2%
  3. 3Jon Rahm10.5%
  4. 4Cameron Young4.2%
  5. 5Bryson DeChambeau8.0%

Evaluates players across five dimensions: recent momentum, Augusta experience, major championship clutch performance, weather adaptability, and intangible factors. Scores are weighted and combined with DraftKings implied probabilities.

📊

The Analyst

Statistical model combining advanced metrics with betting market efficiency

#1 Pick

1

Scottie Scheffler

18.5win %

Top 5

  1. 1Scottie Scheffler18.5%
  2. 2Rory McIlroy9.2%
  3. 3Xander Schauffele7.5%
  4. 4Jon Rahm10.5%
  5. 5Bryson DeChambeau8.0%

Blends strokes gained approach, par-5 scoring, scrambling, and historical Augusta performance with market-implied probabilities from DraftKings to identify value and project outcomes.